WaveForM: Graph Enhanced Wavelet Learning for Long Sequence Forecasting of Multivariate Time Series
Published in AAAI 2023 oral
Recommended citation:Fuhao Yang, Xin Li, Min Wang, Hongyu Zang, Wei Pang, Mingzhong Wang: WaveForM: Graph Enhanced Wavelet Learning for Long Sequence Forecasting of Multivariate Time Series. AAAI 2023: 10754-10761
Paper link:Multivariate time series (MTS) analysis and forecasting are crucial in many real-world applications, such as smart traffic management and weather forecasting. However, most existing work either focuses on short sequence forecasting or makes predictions predominantly with time domain features, which is not effective at removing noises with irregular frequencies in MTS. Therefore, we propose \modelname, an end-to-end graph enhanced Wavelet learning framework for long sequence FORecasting of MTS. WaveForM first utilizes Discrete Wavelet Transform (DWT) to represent MTS in the wavelet domain, which captures both frequency and time domain features with a sound theoretical basis. To enable the effective learning in the wavelet domain, we further propose a graph constructor, which learns a global graph to represent the relationships between MTS variables, and graph-enhanced prediction modules, which utilize dilated convolution and graph convolution to capture the correlations between time series and predict the wavelet coefficients at different levels. Extensive experiments on five real-world forecasting datasets show that our model can achieve considerable performance improvement over different prediction lengths against the most competitive baseline of each dataset.
@inproceedings{DBLP:conf/aaai/YangLWZPW23,
author = {Fuhao Yang and
Xin Li and
Min Wang and
Hongyu Zang and
Wei Pang and
Mingzhong Wang},
editor = {Brian Williams and
Yiling Chen and
Jennifer Neville},
title = {WaveForM: Graph Enhanced Wavelet Learning for Long Sequence Forecasting
of Multivariate Time Series},
booktitle = {Thirty-Seventh {AAAI} Conference on Artificial Intelligence, {AAAI}
2023, Thirty-Fifth Conference on Innovative Applications of Artificial
Intelligence, {IAAI} 2023, Thirteenth Symposium on Educational Advances
in Artificial Intelligence, {EAAI} 2023, Washington, DC, USA, February
7-14, 2023},
pages = {10754--10761},
publisher = {AAAI Press},
year = {2023}
}